Is global warming a natural occurrence
Emphasis on extremes, cheerleading, opinion masked as fact, over-certainty, no deviance from official narratives, and so on and so forth. I mean, claims to be able to identify whether some bad never good weather event can be blamed on global cooling a.
How about here? By which they could have only meant it was slightly above the small number of records kept over a limited number of years using modern measuring equipment. We now have to blame the bad—never good!
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More on this another day: even modelers are being forced to publicly admit this. Skip that. Their method allows the user to uncover what set of characteristics define an extreme weather event for a specific climate and then to use those fingerprints to determine whether a real event, such as any of the heat waves, was caused by the natural variability of the climate or by global warming.
Okay, sounds interesting enough. The ability to make these inferences comes, Lucarini says, because of the similarity of the patterns of simulated extreme events.
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Lucarini says that other methods are largely empirical, meaning that the tools can indicate the likelihood that a past extreme event was caused by climate change but cannot predict the probable occurrence of future such events. The author also says the method uses the same kinds of climate models the IPCC uses. So this is serious stuff!
Does it work? Say, it seems their method does work. Compared to a full atmospheric general circulation model, moist processes are omitted, and simple parameterisations are used to account for the effect of friction Rayleigh frictiondiabatic heating Newtonian coolingand diffusion… We run the model in a simple symmetric setting usually referred to as an aquaplaneti.
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We remove the annual and diurnal cycle, and use a symmetric forcing with respect to the equator… Ah. A toy. The model is a toy, resembling our real atmosphere and planet in the same way the spinning globe on your desk resembles the plate tectonics of the real earth.
Source the globe was one big ocean. So they ran their toy model, a not unfamiliar practice in physics, and not useless to learn from, and discovered the toy had certain statistical properties. Maybe the technique of drawing those statistics might someday be useful if actual models become good enough to rely on.
Statistician to the Stars!
Yet it will still be difficult for most to not draw the conclusion that Something Important Happened Here, and that global cooling etc. Which is the point of the news article. I do mean to say that we could do with a lot less journalism. Subscribe or donate to support this site and its wholly independent host using credit card or PayPal click here Share this:.]
Is global warming a natural occurrence Video
S. Fred Singer: Global Warming- Natural or Human-Caused?Is global warming a natural occurrence - final
Please, no plagiarized work! Rather, this debate is about the actual causes of the increase of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere. Some scientists argue that this is a result of natural occurrences while others believe that it results from human activities. This paper aims at discussing whether climate change is a natural occurrence or resulting of human activities. According to Nicola Scafetta, those claiming that climatic change is a result of human activities fail to take into consideration climate modulating effects of solar changes.Right!: Is global warming a natural occurrence
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Is global warming a natural occurrence - impossible
Overview of Global Warming A. Signs of global warming a. Support b. Skepticism II. Effects of Global Warming A. Contributors to global a.COMMENTS4 comments (view all)
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